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| Piero Fassino |
Sunday, January 27 there were the primary center for the last major city that still waiting for them, Torino .
A number of factors made the event extremely important and sensitive for the coalition and the Democratic Party in particular: concerns about pollution of the vote after the bad shape of Naples, and the fear of low turnout in a city considered by many as the key test for the survival of the center in the north, the participation of Piero Fassino as a leading candidate of the Democratic Party and the uncertainty about how people would respond to Turin one of the most held up between the political representatives of the "Casta" senior certified and political and especially one who, with the words "we have a bank" signs, rightly or wrongly, the end of the perception of moral superiority of the left.
A tense election campaign, with five candidates remained in contention after several withdrawals excellent, certainly not helped to make the atmosphere more relaxed.
Primaries on January 27, swept away these fears, giving a day of extraordinary success at the center.
The important thing is of course been that of participation: 53,185 votes, of which 53,002 valid, are found to be clearly outstanding, well above expectations and well above even the subject analogous previous consultations at national level in 2007 and 2009 that crowned respectively Veltroni and Bersani, when he was always under the 40,000 participants.
The voters in the primaries in Turin were the 21.99% of the votes won by Mercedes Bresso City in the last regional elections held in 2010, a figure in line with the ratios obtained in the towns of Milan and Bologna raffrontando le medesime tipologie di consultazioni ed esaltato dal fatto che nella coalizione a sostegno di Mercedes Bresso sono conteggiati anche i voti dell'UDC, una formazione estranea alla composizione classica del centrosinistra e che sicuramente non sosterrà il candidato uscito dalle primarie alle elezioni di maggio.
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| Risultati delle primarie di Torino del 27 febbraio 2011 |
La tabella riportata, ottenuta aggregando i dati presenti sul sito del Partito Democratico di Torino per circoscrizione, focalizza l'attenzione proprio sul vincitore delle primarie e sulle dimensioni della vittoria ottenuta.
Piero Fassino, last secretary of the DS, will be the mayoral candidate of the center, having won the primary with 29,297 preferences, representing 55.28% of valid votes. More than double the direct competitor , Davide Gariglio, which accounted for 27.39%, while the other candidates have stopped at 12.42%, respectively (Passoni), 4.15% (Curtis) and 0.76% (Avenue).
These findings offer a wide range of food for thought, on which the center will linger in Turin and studied carefully in view of the challenge in May's election.
First victory of Piero Fassino was clear and fairly homogeneous in terms of geography: the ex-secretary exceeded the absolute majority of preferences in all ten districts in the city, by obtaining its worst result in the ninth and the best in the VI. It is important to note that even in districts II and X, which surround the area of \u200b\u200bMirafiori and where it still counts many workers and former workers FIAT, Fassino has been taken over by 55% in spite of his utterances very clear for the SI the recent referendum among the workers of Turin carmaker could be a question mark on its performance. The possible bias on Fassino have not commented on fertile ground: neither the old-master policy, or his long absence from London, nor the support of top Roman Party have somehow clouded his candidacy, and these issues will have to be careful in the center-stage of the campaign to prevent slips. If
Fassino has shown a sample of regularity in the ten towns ciroscrizioni, the performance of Gariglio instead have suffered heavily in the territorial factor, ranging from 19% to 36% of the district VIII of IX. The campaign Gariglio, based primarily on the clash of generations and the renewal has not paid. The reasons for this failure are many: only one in three voters in the primaries was less than 45 years, and the average length of the electorate has high instances of poorly implemented renewal highlighted by Gariglio. Secondly, the theme of renewal was intended as an attempt to close the decade of Chiamparino, the current, popular mayor. The consensus from Chiamparino enjoyed the support of all to Fassino and the attempt - perhaps compelled - by Gariglio to be an alternative and do not dive in a context of continuity were powerful brakes to its consent. Finally, the support of the "lords of preferences" and Placido Laus may have been counterproductive in the long Gariglio, which was found to be a candidate in turn establishment and falling into incoherence with respect to its position.
Left of PD, stands a good result by Passoni, especially in districts I and VIII, historically those most adverse to the left Turin. As already Bologna, candidates out of the PD have shown themselves more capable of attracting consensus in areas traditionally hostile to the left, even though in fact the expression of more extreme movements. Passoni, supported by civic clubs SEL can somehow quantify the effect of Vendola the people of the center. Giuliano Pisapia Amelia Frascaroli in Milan and Bologna had obtained the official support of Left Ecology and Freedom, and Vendola had spent in person for their candidacy, and both have achieved excellent results in the primaries, the first even win, Vendola sign of what is able to break through the center of nell'elettorato. The support of local clubs and Ecology of Freedom Left without that of his secretary Passoni allowed to reach 12%, a result which, though good, the distances sharply from its counterparts in Milan and Bologna, and highlights the strong problem personalism that grips SEL.
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| Geographical breakdown of the votes |
To analyze the data from the geographical point of view, it was compared the distribution of the primary vote of 2011 with the approval of the center- the latest consultations the same type as those that will in 2011 - Municipal 2006 - and the last elections ever - Regional 2010.
The graph shows a clear trend some very specific, and some signals that are interpreted as the only warning signs in an otherwise perfect day.
First you notice the sharp increase in the size of constituencies historically adverse to the left, I and VIII. The excellent results achieved by Passoni in these two districts suggests a certain correlation between these two figures, dispelling the possibility of pollution of the vote and leaving even mean a penetration of the center in these two districts. For other constituencies are
can speak of stability, such as II, the slight increase, as the IV, or decrease, such as X, but certainly the center should reflect the decline in area VI, where stronger in recent years has been the League's penetration, and real collapse of the third, which gives even his role as the main reservoir of votes of the coalition.
Summing up, the day in Turin can be considered triumphant in all respects for the center, but at the same time charge Fassino, the PD and the coalition of all significant responsibility for keeping faith image winning bid on February 27, compared to a center that, at this point, you can play with ruthlessness of the attack knowing they have nothing to lose.
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