Facial Hair And Herpes

Professional politicians (Part II)

Mirko Tremaglia (FLI)

After examining in detail the seniority policy senators XVI's term, the same study was repeated, again using data made available by Parliament Open updated on March 10, 2011, for members of the Chamber of Deputies.

The big difference between the number of deputies and senators, with the first double in number than the latter, it gives right away what should be the physiological differences between the two chambers. First
lose their importance the minimum and maximum values, related more to individual personalities and groups in the parliamentary complex, in concert, the increase in the number of elements increases the importance of the mean and standard deviation as an index to measure the degree of renewal of the ruling class that deals with the Chamber.

The ten members with the highest number of days
as a parliamentarian (as of 10/03/2011)

Examining the table show the oldest Parliamentary in terms of activities, we see in reality are six members who have surpassed the ideology of 10,000 days, compared with - taking into account the 30 days of discrepancy between the detection of the House and the Senate - four in the Senate. The two values \u200b\u200bare thus in line.
From the perspective of the parliamentary groups there is a certain homogeneity, with three elements UDC, two PD and PDL. In addition there are two FLI - elected in the lists of the PDL - and two from Mixed - one elected from the ranks of the UDC and one in the PDL.
In the list there are many familiar faces, and two in particular - Fini and Casini - who occupy the role of leader party, reflecting the significant role that the generation yet she found the policy in the 80's in Parliament today.

Ten Members with the lowest date
first entry into Parliament (as of 03/10/2011)

If instead it is estimated the date of first entry into Parliament, where the "top ten " expands to twelve elements Because of ex aequo , appear to be eight deputies entered here before 1980, compared to six in the Senate.
analyzing the data from the point of view of the parliamentary groups, is known as the PD component falls to a single element, while the remaining two UDC - more than one hour in the mixed - and now four members of the PDL, then passed to two more FLI and two on the Mixed.
In this second table are not many names that appear in the first, and indeed show values relatively low: These data show a phenomenon, in fact relatively common in the parliament, which goes far beyond the non-election for one or two terms of a particular Member, but instead has seen the comeback in the last two legislatures of several ladies out of Parliament since the First Republic.

analysis of days of presence in Parliament (as at 03.10.2011) Parliamentary Group for Pooled

If the average seniority of the House is about a years less than that of the Senate, there are many differences between the two rooms if you look at the split parliamentary groups. It is in this case, the mixed group to have the highest average, close to 4,000 days, followed by FLI, UDC, PdL, PD, League IdV and group composition with younger managers.

Group Analysis parlamentre PDL (as of 10/03/2011)

FLI analysis of the parliamentary group (data to 10/03/2011)

Compared to the Senate, the victory of 2008 has been used more profitably in the House, with 82 MPs to the first term of a total of 228, the real difference between the two classrooms, however, is located in the most senior MPs, and particularly among those who have had two legislatures.
completely different from the Senate instead of the split FLI: the House seem to be in fact the older members to have turned their backs to the formation of Berlusconi, a sign of the gradual separation of the right represented by the MSI and the historical policy of the PDL. The presence of veterans in this training policy as Fini and trammel nets, combined with limited size of the group, makes the average length of FLI very high, but the high variance is indicative of a discreet presence giovanile, anche se fondata più su coloro che sono alla seconda legislatura che sulle new entry , essenziale per dare un futuro alla formazione finiana.

Analisi del gruppo parlamentare PD (dati al 10/03/2011)

Analisi del gruppo parlamentare Lega (dati al 10/03/2011)

Il Partito Democratico porta in Aula il medesimo numero di new entry del PdL, ma su un totale di gruppo inferiore di 22 unità. Questo fattore, unito all'ampia delegation behind with two terms, is the reason for the improved performance of PD compared to PDL in terms of generation capacity for renewal.
is particularly interesting, however, the comparison between PD and the Northern League. The two parties have a very similar average time (just 50 days apart), but the graphs show a very different trend. The PD shows the development of a stable party, with a pyramidal structure rather sweet performance between the various steps represented by the legislatures. The league, as evidenced also by the increased standard deviation, show the characteristic signs of a booming party: a high number of young people in the first term, but quite a burden rilevante rispetto al totale delle figure storiche. Non si può parlare quindi di ricambio generazionale e rinnovamento della classe dirigente per questa formazione, quanto piuttosto di mantenimento dei vecchi volti unito all'aggiunta di un gran numero di nuovi ingressi.

Analisi del gruppo parlamentare IdV (dati al 10/03/2011)

L'Italia dei Valori mostra un andamento analogo a quello della Lega, anche se, essendo una formazione di per sé più giovane, non evidenzia al proprio interno elementi di particolare anzianità.

Analysis of the parliamentary group UDC (as of 03/10/2011)

The centrist party of Casini, however, shows a strong inability to internal renewal, as shown by the small number of members entered in the last Parliament legislature. In addition to the considerable weight of historical figures, affects the weight of the relevant portion of those who have had two legislatures, as if the UDC still lived in the income of a generation change took place during the 2006 elections.

Analysis of the Mixed Parliamentary Group (as of 03/10/2011)

Analysis of the Parliamentary Group Leaders (as of 03/10/2011)

Particularly interesting are also charts on mixed group and that of managers, respectively, the formation oldest and youngest of the Chamber of Deputies. The Mixed
represents all those who, for ideology or calculation, are placed outside of the usual partisan alliances - together of course to the members of linguistic minorities. The analysis shows that to make this choice are mainly the elderly policy, historical names such as La Malfa Tabacci or leaked from the parties with which they were candidates.
In contrast to the group of managers was created recently to clot formation in one of the disappointed members of the Joint FLI and who wanted to support explicitly govenro and return in the majority but without adhering to the PDL or league. The group, as we see, is very young, and while questions arise about the real intentions of young parliamentarians, no packages of votes related to their personality and therefore no certain guarantees of re-election if they had to rely on their own resources, from 'another is a positive sign for Berlusconi managed to gather a group of young people, which may hide the leaders of tomorrow in its support.

analysis of days of presence in Parliament (as of 03/10/2011)
aggregate by region

analysis by region is seen as there are only three - Abruzzo, Molise and Calabria - to overcome the psychological threshold of the average value of 3,000 days, but most of all affects how a region can produce as many as 99 deputies in Lombardy has a value very close to that threshold, even taking into account that two of the ten most senior MPs were elected in this county.

parliamentary group for each region

Analysis of days of presence in Parliament (as of 10/03/2011)
aggregate in a region

If you examine the split of the parliamentary groups, it is possible to observe in detail the behavior of parties in the territory . As for the Senate, you can take for example a center-majority region, one in which it dominates the PDL League and one in traction. In Emilia Romagna
the three main parties - PD, PDL League and - values \u200b\u200bare relatively close, with the PD about 200 days under the PDL and the League about 200 under the PD. All three formations have increased the number of deputies (one PD and PDL, two of the league), showing a conti fatti un'analoga capacità di svecchiamento della classe dirigente.
In Sicilia la situazione è completamente differente. Sebbene il PdL sia in grado di contare su una delegazione di deputati doppia rispetto al PD, doppia è anche l'anzianità parlamentare dei suoi deputati. In una regione in cui è sempre storicamente stato debole, il centrosinistra ha quindi puntato su un rinnovamento sostanzioso della propria classe dirigente, in presenza per di più di un calo di tre unità della propria delegazione di parlamentari, laddove il PdL non ha saputo approfittare della propria posizione predominante e di un incremento di quattro parlamentari per eseguire un'adeguata operazione di inserimento di nuove leve tra i propri deputati dell'isola.
In Veneto, infine, la violenta espansione della Lega ha portato ad un incremento di ben undici unità, a scapito di PD (-3) e soprattutto PdL (-5). Eppure, in questa situazione, è stato ancora il PD a portare in Parlamento i deputati con la minore anzianità, segno di come nel PdL si sia cercato principalmente di conservare l'elezione di coloro che già erano stati eletti in passato, e nella Lega ci si sia limitati invece a fare spazio alle nuove leve sfruttando i maggiori posti a disposizione, senza un vero ricambio.

Analisi dei giorni di presenza in Parlamento (dati al 10/03/2011)
Aggregato per sesso

finally using sex as a discriminating factor for Members in the analysis, emerges as women - about 21% of the total - have been serving about 700 days less than that of male colleagues.

analysis of days of presence in Parliament (as of 03/10/2011)
Aggregate for parliamentary group / sex

From split for parliamentary group, simply by counting the number of women in each education stands the value of PD, can boast of the shares rose around 40% and to contain only 45% of women dell'intera Camera dei Deputati.
Analizzando per anzianità, e prendendo in esame per validità statistica solo i gruppi con una componente femminile di almeno dieci elementi (PD, PdL e Lega), emerge come sia ancora il PD a fare meglio della formazione berlusconiana, mentre il Carroccio riesce a fare meglio di entrambe sfruttando il maggior numero di posti a disposizione ottenuti nella XVI legislatura.

Alla Camera ancora più che al Senato si evidenziano quindi le differenze tra centrosinistra e centrodestra in termini di ricambio generazionale e capacità di presentazione e inserimento di nuovi parlamentari. L'unica notizia positiva per il futuro del berlusconismo come modello di destra è l'elevata anzianità dei componenti of FLI, which presents them as the most nostalgic of MSI and as a force of renewal for a new right, and contrary to the low average length of Managers, a group united for now only by the desire to support the government but that in the future could be, if it can find a political identity, a genuine third leg for the majority in support of Silvio Berlusconi.

Sample Opening Prayer For Debut Ceremony

Merkel to the test of Saxony

Wolfgang Böhmer (CDU), President of Sachsen-Anhalt

After the election in Hamburg on 20 February, which has seen return to government SPD after a decade size in the second city in Germany after Berlin, the long election year in Germany meets its second meeting in land east of Saxony-Anhalt, where he will vote March 20.

The outgoing chairman is Wolfgang Böhmer (CDU), which holds a Grand Coalition CDU / SPD. This places the land neutral between the elements of the Bundesrat, in which the region has four MPs.
The Sachsen-Anhalt can be considered, noting its history, been a swing : elections held since the reunification of Germany have in fact seen the alternation of governments and presidents of different colors and compositions.
We have moved from a purely conservative black-yellow coalition of social democratic governments in the early years of children with and without the Grünen and the external support of the radical left, and back to conservative governments and finally the Grand Coalition today.

The Sachsen-Anhalt has a population of about 2.4 million people (almost 3% of the population of Germany), and with a GDP that is about 2% of the German Bundesrat and a weight equivalent to just under 6% of the total may be comparable to a region such as Sardinia and Friuli Venezia Giulia.

The last regional elections saw the CDU establish itself as the first party with 36% of the votes, followed by the link SPD by 24% and 21%. In
lander of the former GDR generally has less value to the conventio excludendum against Linke, which exists in the western regions of the country, and really the strength of Linke is likely to be the determining factor in the elections of March 20.

Trend election in February 2011 in Saxony-Anhalt

trends recorded by Infratest DIMAP in the month of February 2011 show the link as the second party of the land , as in 2006, but much closer to the CDU, ahead of six percentage points. At the same time, la SPD appare in ascesa e si trova a tre punti dalla Linke al 23%.
Le due forze di sinistra, che potrebbero contare anche sui Grünen dati al 7%, sarebbero quindi maggioritarie, ma i rapporti di forza tra i partiti escluderebbero un governo rosso-verde con appoggio esterno della Linke, e anzi richiederebbero espressamente che, in una coalizione rosso-rosso-verde, la scelta del presidente del land toccasse proprio alla formazione di La Fontaine, schieramento di maggioranza nella coalizione.
Ad Hamburg, valutando i risultati reali delle elezioni del 20 febbraio rispetto ai sondaggi della Infratest Dimap, si nota come la SPD sia stata sottostimata di circa 3 punti, e la Linke e la FDP di uno, mentre la CDU è stata sovrastimata of a point and two Grünen. If you want to apply similar margins of error in surveys available for Sachsen-Anhalt is seen as the values \u200b\u200bshowed a situation in reality is still very fluid and uncertain, especially given that it is now almost a month since the last survey.

direct preferences for presidential candidates

The option of a president Linke, as the graph of consensus candidates, however, seems distasteful to most voters of Sachsen-Ahnalt, despite the strength of the Linke election as a party, only a minority of 10% of voters vedrebbe di buon occhio un presidente appartenente a tale schieramento, segno di come la Linke non sia stata ancora del tutto metabolizzata nel sistema politico del land come forza di governo.

Linke e comunismo nella percezione dell'elettorato

Un particolare sondaggio condotto sempre dalla Infratest Dimap mostra infatti come per il 35% del campione elettorale tra gli obiettivi della Linke vi sia l'esplicito ritorno al regime comunista, cifra che diventa maggioranza assoluta tra gli elettori della CDU, ed è al di sopra del 30% anche tra i simpatizzanti degli altri partiti di centrosinistra.

The strength of the CDU and SPD is therefore highly probable that makes a repeat of the Grand Coalition 2006, with a chairman of the CDU and the exclusion from the government of Linke land.
In this scenario there would be no significant impact at national level, since the region would remain neutral between the elements of the Bundesrat.

The greatest threat for Merkel could come from a strengthening of the SPD: If you exceed the Social Link has become the first center-left party, the hypothesis of a red-red-green coalition led by SPD would be a viable alternative - if you look at the specific consent to presidential candidates for more welcome to the electorate - and even better for the SPD than the Grand Coalition : the passage of four elements of the Bundesrat from neutrality to opposition by the federal government would make an even more precarious government already tried the election and the scandal of Hamburg ' former Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, while the election results would certainly not negligible impacts in the next round, March 27 in Rheinland-Pfalz and Baden-Württemberg black stronghold.

Saw Palmetto And Alopecia Totalis

The map of vulnerability to climate

The Kalahari Desert (Namibia)

recently released, the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography , a study by J. Samson, D. Berteaux, MM McGill and BJ Humphries entitled Geographic Disparities and Moral Hazards IN THE PREDICTED IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON HUMAN Populations, funded by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Council of Canada and conducted by the staff of the Department of Natural Sciences at McGill University in Montreal.

After a series of studies on the migration of plant and animal species in response to climate change, the search for Samson focuses on the man, trying to build a global level, a map of human vulnerability with respect to global warming. L ' abstract Article is available at this link .

The map of vulnerability to climate J. Samson

The research is based on three sets of basic data: current models for the increase demomgrafico, those relating to the development of Earth's average temperature, and those specific to CO 2 . These data were spatialized in order to capture specific trends for these parameters locally.

The map shows the results of vulnerability, highlighting on a scale of colors ranging from green (no negative impact) to red (Strong negative) effects of climate change on the planet in the year 2050. The most disadvantaged areas are mainly located in the equatorial and tropical Central and South America, ranging, in the Arabian Peninsula, Indonesia, almost the entire African continent.

At first glance, the findings of Samson challenge current theories about global warming, since they see significant impacts for humanity in the areas where we expect lower increases in temperature. But do not forget how in the study have been adequately taken into account the demographic factor is that the starting conditions.
Europe or North America have rates of growth demografica molto bassi, e, al netto dei fenomeni migratori, non vedranno in futuro crescite sensibili della popolazione; questo vuol dire che, anche in caso di problemi legati al riscaldamento globale, la domanda di risorse non sarà comunque in grado di superare l'offerta.
Al tempo stesso, nelle aree equatoriali e tropicali le pratiche agricole fondamentali alla sussistenza si svolgono già oggi in condizioni difficili: gli aumenti di temperatura futuri, anche se inferiori a quelli di altre zone del mondo, rischiano di spezzare il fragile equilibrio di quelle zone, facendo letteralmente esplodere la catena alimentare con tutti i tragici problemi che questo comporterebbe. Al contrario, le zone temperate e quelle polari sono in grado di sopportare temperature rises much more before incurring such problems.

by research data thus shows a very clear point: the major effects of global warming will affect the places and people who are less responsible, raising a genuine moral issue in the theme of climate change.
The next steps of research will of course include the inevitable aging of the model, or through the use of any new population projections and climatological conditions, both through the inclusion of more specific geographical, social and policy at national level in order to improve ' accuracy of the final result, with the aim of building a real quantity index of internationally recognized climate vulnerability that can be a real reference in future international agreements on climate.

What you are trying to reach, then, is an assessment of climate change that is the result of an interpenetration of climatological and anthropological criteria. If this goal from the humanitarian point of view can not be faulted, however, the question that raises is very deep: it is proper to assess climate change and global warming in particular, in relation to the effects they have on humans? It is correct to think that increases in temperature are not influential - or even beneficial - for example in terms of production are non-agricultural problems, or issues of gravity, however, lower than that - although climatological children - who have a severe impact on quality of human life?

Corporate Acquisitions Group Scam

The center chose Turin Fassino

Piero Fassino

Sunday, January 27 there were the primary center for the last major city that still waiting for them, Torino .
A number of factors made the event extremely important and sensitive for the coalition and the Democratic Party in particular: concerns about pollution of the vote after the bad shape of Naples, and the fear of low turnout in a city considered by many as the key test for the survival of the center in the north, the participation of Piero Fassino as a leading candidate of the Democratic Party and the uncertainty about how people would respond to Turin one of the most held up between the political representatives of the "Casta" senior certified and political and especially one who, with the words "we have a bank" signs, rightly or wrongly, the end of the perception of moral superiority of the left.
A tense election campaign, with five candidates remained in contention after several withdrawals excellent, certainly not helped to make the atmosphere more relaxed.

Primaries on January 27, swept away these fears, giving a day of extraordinary success at the center.

The important thing is of course been that of participation: 53,185 votes, of which 53,002 valid, are found to be clearly outstanding, well above expectations and well above even the subject analogous previous consultations at national level in 2007 and 2009 that crowned respectively Veltroni and Bersani, when he was always under the 40,000 participants.
The voters in the primaries in Turin were the 21.99% of the votes won by Mercedes Bresso City in the last regional elections held in 2010, a figure in line with the ratios obtained in the towns of Milan and Bologna raffrontando le medesime tipologie di consultazioni ed esaltato dal fatto che nella coalizione a sostegno di Mercedes Bresso sono conteggiati anche i voti dell'UDC, una formazione estranea alla composizione classica del centrosinistra e che sicuramente non sosterrà il candidato uscito dalle primarie alle elezioni di maggio.

Risultati delle primarie di Torino del 27 febbraio 2011

La tabella riportata, ottenuta aggregando i dati presenti sul sito del Partito Democratico di Torino per circoscrizione, focalizza l'attenzione proprio sul vincitore delle primarie e sulle dimensioni della vittoria ottenuta.
Piero Fassino, last secretary of the DS, will be the mayoral candidate of the center, having won the primary with 29,297 preferences, representing 55.28% of valid votes. More than double the direct competitor , Davide Gariglio, which accounted for 27.39%, while the other candidates have stopped at 12.42%, respectively (Passoni), 4.15% (Curtis) and 0.76% (Avenue).

These findings offer a wide range of food for thought, on which the center will linger in Turin and studied carefully in view of the challenge in May's election.

First victory of Piero Fassino was clear and fairly homogeneous in terms of geography: the ex-secretary exceeded the absolute majority of preferences in all ten districts in the city, by obtaining its worst result in the ninth and the best in the VI. It is important to note that even in districts II and X, which surround the area of \u200b\u200bMirafiori and where it still counts many workers and former workers FIAT, Fassino has been taken over by 55% in spite of his utterances very clear for the SI the recent referendum among the workers of Turin carmaker could be a question mark on its performance. The possible bias on Fassino have not commented on fertile ground: neither the old-master policy, or his long absence from London, nor the support of top Roman Party have somehow clouded his candidacy, and these issues will have to be careful in the center-stage of the campaign to prevent slips. If

Fassino has shown a sample of regularity in the ten towns ciroscrizioni, the performance of Gariglio instead have suffered heavily in the territorial factor, ranging from 19% to 36% of the district VIII of IX. The campaign Gariglio, based primarily on the clash of generations and the renewal has not paid. The reasons for this failure are many: only one in three voters in the primaries was less than 45 years, and the average length of the electorate has high instances of poorly implemented renewal highlighted by Gariglio. Secondly, the theme of renewal was intended as an attempt to close the decade of Chiamparino, the current, popular mayor. The consensus from Chiamparino enjoyed the support of all to Fassino and the attempt - perhaps compelled - by Gariglio to be an alternative and do not dive in a context of continuity were powerful brakes to its consent. Finally, the support of the "lords of preferences" and Placido Laus may have been counterproductive in the long Gariglio, which was found to be a candidate in turn establishment and falling into incoherence with respect to its position.

Left of PD, stands a good result by Passoni, especially in districts I and VIII, historically those most adverse to the left Turin. As already Bologna, candidates out of the PD have shown themselves more capable of attracting consensus in areas traditionally hostile to the left, even though in fact the expression of more extreme movements. Passoni, supported by civic clubs SEL can somehow quantify the effect of Vendola the people of the center. Giuliano Pisapia Amelia Frascaroli in Milan and Bologna had obtained the official support of Left Ecology and Freedom, and Vendola had spent in person for their candidacy, and both have achieved excellent results in the primaries, the first even win, Vendola sign of what is able to break through the center of nell'elettorato. The support of local clubs and Ecology of Freedom Left without that of his secretary Passoni allowed to reach 12%, a result which, though good, the distances sharply from its counterparts in Milan and Bologna, and highlights the strong problem personalism that grips SEL.

Geographical breakdown of the votes

To analyze the data from the geographical point of view, it was compared the distribution of the primary vote of 2011 with the approval of the center- the latest consultations the same type as those that will in 2011 - Municipal 2006 - and the last elections ever - Regional 2010.
The graph shows a clear trend some very specific, and some signals that are interpreted as the only warning signs in an otherwise perfect day.
First you notice the sharp increase in the size of constituencies historically adverse to the left, I and VIII. The excellent results achieved by Passoni in these two districts suggests a certain correlation between these two figures, dispelling the possibility of pollution of the vote and leaving even mean a penetration of the center in these two districts. For other constituencies are
can speak of stability, such as II, the slight increase, as the IV, or decrease, such as X, but certainly the center should reflect the decline in area VI, where stronger in recent years has been the League's penetration, and real collapse of the third, which gives even his role as the main reservoir of votes of the coalition.

Summing up, the day in Turin can be considered triumphant in all respects for the center, but at the same time charge Fassino, the PD and the coalition of all significant responsibility for keeping faith image winning bid on February 27, compared to a center that, at this point, you can play with ruthlessness of the attack knowing they have nothing to lose.